In 2024, the North Texas real estate market has shown notable changes compared to 2023, with all major counties experiencing increases in new listings and active inventory.
In Collin County, new listings have risen by 11.7%, while the average days on market have increased significantly by 44%. Active listings in this county have surged by 46.5%, indicating a more favorable environment for buyers. Dallas County has seen a very similar trend, with new listings up by 11.8% and the average days on market rising by 46.4%. Tarrant County and Denton County have experienced smaller increases in new listings at 4.8% and 7.8%, respectively. The average days on market in this county have increased by 20.6% in Tarrant County and 12.8% in Denton County. An increase in active listings suggests a more favorable environment for buyers but longer days on market may mean that sellers need to adjust their pricing expectations.
A significant development influencing the market is the recent Federal Reserve rate cut announced on September 18th. This decision may have far-reaching implications for mortgage rates and overall buyer sentiment. As we approach the fourth quarter of this year, it will be interesting to see how this rate cut affects buyer activity and market dynamics in North Texas.
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
July saw an increase in home sales and a sharp rise in building permits. The previous month’s decline was partly due to fewer business days, which led to a spillover of activity in July. New listings fell almost 10 percent, but active listings fell by less than 1 percent, possibly due to the counteracting increase in sales for the month.
Home Sales Take Major Jump in July
Texas bounced back over June’s low sales with a 15.4 percent month-over-month (MOM) increase in seasonally adjusted home sales in July, resulting in 27,049 homes sold (Table 1). Houston experienced the largest increase among the Big Four at 21.7 percent (7,500), followed by Dallas (7,595) and San Antonio (2,807), which increased by 18.1 and 16.2 percent, respectively. Austin had the lowest sales change of the Big Four with a 13.9 percent increase, resulting in 2,378 homes sold in July.
New listings fell by more than 4,000, a 9.8 percent drop from June. Houston, with 9,739 listings representing a 24.7 percent drop, was a major contributor to this decline, followed by Austin with 2,853 listings (18.8 percent drop). San Antonio (4,041) and Dallas (9,774) also experienced similar declines of 14 and 12 percent, respectively. Overall, the Big Four is seeing a downward shift in new listings that had been on the rise until April 2024, when they hit their high for the year so far.
The state’s average days on market (DOM) remained unchanged at 59 days in July. San Antonio had the largest decrease—73 to 71 days, a 2 percent decline. Similarly, Austin dropped from 68 to 67 days. Dallas and Houston, on the other hand, have not shown any major changes.
Texas’ number of active listings went down from 116,335 to 115,865 (0.4 percent). Active listings across the Big Four were mixed in July with Dallas, San Antonio, and Austin increasing by 4.7 percent (26,013), 2.4 percent (13,907), and 2 percent (11,426), respectively, while Houston fell 8.5 percent (27,503).
Statewide pending listings in Texas have been on the decline since earlier this year with 4,292 fewer pending listings in July than in February, when they peaked at 29,274. San Antonio and Houston had the highest declines—8.4 percent (to a current 2,515) and 7 percent (6,686), respectively. Dallas had a smaller decline of 2.9 percent (6,837) while Austin (2,355) hasn’t had any major changes.
Interest Rates Dip Slightly
Treasury and mortgage rates both declined in July but as a slower rate than the month before. The average ten-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield fell 6 basis points to 4.25 percent. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate fell by 7 basis points to 6.85 percent.
Single-Family Permits Bounce Back, but Starts Fall
Texas’ monthly building permits bounced back in July, increasing 26.3 percent MOM after dropping 19 percent in June. All Big Four metros had growth except for San Antonio, which fell by 12.3 percent. Austin and Dallas grew the most at 28.3 percent and 71 percent, respectively. Both almost reached the April high point. Houston, however, failed to grow at the same rate as the others, rising only 6 percent.
Single-family construction starts have been on the decline since March 2024. Seasonally adjusted statewide single-family starts decreased by 4.3 percent MOM to 12,542 units. The Big Four have been in decline with Houston leading at 12 percent, San Antonio at 6 percent, and Dallas at 1.8 percent. Austin has been relatively steady with only a 1 percent fall.
The state’s total value of single-family starts climbed from $17.39 billion in July 2023 to $22.91 billion in July 2024. Houston accounted for 35.7 percent of the state’s total starts value followed by Dallas with 27.1 percent.
Home Price Increase Slightly
Texas’ median home price rose 1.4 percent MOM in July from $332,866 to $337,382. Houston rose by 1.5 percent at $341,283 while San Antonio rose by 1 percent at $311,140. Austin rose by 0.3 percent. Dallas was the only one among the Big Four that had a slight decline of 0.3 percent.
The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Jan 2005=100), which is a more accurate reflection of home price changes, fell 0.3 percent MOM in July but increased 1.4 percent year over year (YOY). Austin’s annual appreciation remains below the state’s average and fell by 3.2 percent YOY in July.
In July 2024, the real estate market in the DFW Metroplex displayed varied trends across different counties. Overall, the DFW Metroplex saw a mix of rising listing activity and extended market times, with some counties experiencing price growth while others faced slight declines in sales.
Collin County saw significant activity, with new listings increasing by 27% and active listings surging by 46.1%. The days on market (DOM) rose to 39 days, marking a 25% increase from the prior year. The average sales price was approximately $580K, slightly down by 1.4%, while the average price per square foot rose by 1.3% to $228. Closed sales increased marginally by 1.2%, reaching 1,452 units.
In Dallas County, new listings grew by 14.9%, and active listings by 42.2%. The DOM increased to 37 days, up over 27% from the previous year. The average sales price rose by 8.7% to $575K, with the price per square foot also seeing a rise of 2.1% to $241. However, closed sales declined by 3.3%, totaling 1,797 units.
Denton County followed a similar trend, with new listings up by 11.9% and active listings by 26.8%. The DOM was 39 days, up 8.3% from the previous year. The average sales price increased by 1.5% to $578K, and the price per square foot rose slightly by 0.5% to $223. Closed sales remained nearly flat, with a slight decrease of 0.1%, ending at 1,274 units.
Rockwall County experienced a modest increase in new listings by 6.2% and active listings by 31.7%. However, the DOM rose significantly to 60 days, an increase of over 33% from the prior year. The average sales price increased by 11% to $537K, while the price per square foot went up by 3.7% to $197. Closed sales dropped notably by 17.5%, totaling 179 units.
In Tarrant County, new listings increased by 11.9%, and active listings by 30.5%. The DOM was 40 days, a 25% increase from the previous year. The average sales price was $454K, with the price per square foot at $201. Closed sales saw a slight rise of 2.1%, reaching 2,054 units.
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
Housing activity for both new and existing homes decreased considerably in June. Growth in active listings resulted in downward pressure on home prices. Seasonally adjusted home prices dipped 1.5 percent, which is uncharacteristic for June when housing activity normally peaks for the year.
Home Sales Take Major Downhill Slide in June
Texas witnessed a 14.2 percent month over month (MOM) decrease in seasonally adjusted home sales in June, resulting in 23,791 homes sold (Table 1). Dallas experienced the largest decrease among the Big Four at 16.8 percent (6,571) followed by Houston (6,474) and Austin (2,299), which each fell by 14.5 percent. The decline in San Antonio was relatively minimal, at 13 percent (2,587). As of June, year-to-date home sales are at the same levels as last year.
Recent data indicate a shift in new listings following a period of steady growth, notably led by Austin among the major metropolitan areas, which experienced a 13.6 percent decline to 3,513 listings. While all Big Four cities saw decreases, Austin’s decline was the most pronounced. Houston and San Antonio saw reductions of 3.8 percent (12,919 listings) and 2.4 percent (4,692 listings), respectively. Dallas exhibited the least variation, with a modest decrease of 1.2 percent (10,852 listings).
The state’s average days on market (DOM) increased from 57 to 59. Austin and Houston each increased by three days and are currently at 68 and 50 days, respectively. San Antonio and Dallas each increased by two days. San Antonio had the highest days on market among the Big Four with 74 days. Dallas had an average of 51 days. The number of Texas active listings went up from 113,714 to 116,797 (2.7 percent). The active listings across the Big Four were mixed in June with Houston increasing by 15.7 percent (30,179) while Dallas fell 9.7 percent (24,557). San Antonio and Austin had relatively smaller increases of 2.5 percent (13,576) and 0.3 percent (11,407), respectively.
Statewide pending listings in Texas have been on a decline since February with only a slight increase of 0.3 percent in June. San Antonio and Dallas both decreased by 10 percent and are currently at 2,459 and 6,493, respectively. Houston and Austin increased by 8 percent (7,592) and 4 percent (2,464), respectively. The slowdown in sales and pending listings in San Antonio and Dallas have contributed to their higher-than-normal active listing count.
Interest Rates Dip Slightly
Treasury and mortgage rates both declined in the month of June but was not enough to positively influence housing sales. The average ten-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield fell 17 basis points to 4.31 percent. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate fell by 14 basis points to 6.92 percent.
Single-Family Permits Follow Sales Decline
Texas state monthly building permits plummeted 18.9 percent MOM in June reaching 10,977. The Big Four faced a comprehensive decline to varying degrees. The decrease in Austin was the most significant, reaching 30.1 percent. Dallas also experienced a substantial drop, with a decrease of 20.1 percent. Houston and San Antonio had smaller declines of 7.1 and 7.7 percent, respectively.
Single-family construction starts also declined but to a much lesser degree according to data from Dodge Construction Network. Seasonally adjusted statewide single-family starts decreased by 0.3 percent MOM to 13,198 units. Austin had a slower month for permits with a decline of 3.2 percent. DFW actually increased 2.8 percent over May, reaching 3,566 starts. Houston and San Antonio had a slight increase of 0.4 and 0.1 percent, respectively.
The state’s total value of single-family starts climbed from $14.68 billion in June 2023 to $20.06 billion in June 2024. Houston accounted for 36.3 percent of the state’s total starts value followed by Dallas with 26.8 percent.
Home Price Declines
Texas’ median home price fell by 1.5 percent MOM in June with an overall decline in the Big Four areas (Table 2). Houston, San Antonio, and Austin each declined by less than one percent. Dallas experienced the largest decline, with a drop of 1.7 percent, surpassing the overall state decline. For a better understanding of repeat sales from the median approach, see Texas Home Price Index Explained – REC 101.
The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Jan 2005=100), which is a more accurate reflection of home price changes, fell 0.4 percent MOM in June but increased 1.4 percent year over year (YOY). Austin’s annual appreciation remains below the state’s average and fell by 1.5 percent YOY in June.
In June 2024, the real estate landscape across various counties in the Dallas-Fort Worth area continued to show varied patterns.
In Collin County, there was a notable 9% increase in new listings, alongside a substantial 41.5% rise in active listings compared to the previous year. The average days on the market saw an 11% increase, while the average sales price slightly decreased to $593,841, and the average price per square foot dropped by 0.5%. Closed sales experienced an 8% decline from the prior year.
Dallas County observed a 5.6% growth in new listings, accompanied by a significant 38.7% increase in active listings year-over-year. The average days on market surged by 23.3%, while the average sales price decreased by 4.1% to $518,889. The average price per square foot, however, saw a slight uptick of 0.8%. Closed sales declined notably by 21.2% compared to the previous year.
In Denton County, new listings decreased by 6.2%, but active listings rose by nearly 25% from June 2023. The average days on market increased by 5.7%, while the average sales price showed a 4% uptick. The average price per square foot also increased by 4%, despite closed sales declining by 15% compared to the same period last year.
Overall, the real estate market in North Texas appears to be navigating through a phase of adjustment and recalibration in mid-2024. Monitoring these trends will be crucial to understanding how the market evolves in response to economic conditions and buyer sentiment in the coming months.
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
All measurements are calculated using seasonally adjusted data, and percentage changes are calculated month-over-month, unless stated otherwise. Data are current as of June 22, 2024.
Housing activity for both new and existing homes decreased in May. Despite a rise in active listings, home prices remained the same at $340,000 for the second month in a row.
Slow Home Sales for May
Texas witnessed a 4.2 percent decrease in total seasonally adjusted home sales month over month (MOM), resulting in 27,845 homes sold (Table 1). Austin and Dallas experienced decreases of 4.5 percent (2,731) and 2.4 percent (7,920), respectively. However, San Antonio and Houston experienced slight increases of 1.7 percent (3,049) and 1 percent (7,623). Overall, there has been a significant downward trend for sales compared with the past few years.
New listings have been steadily increasing, although there is a slight drop of 2.9 percent (45,878) in May. Among the Big Four, San Antonio experienced the only increase at 6.4 percent. Austin saw the largest decline at 13.3 percent while Dallas dropped 6.6 percent. Houston’s new listings were relatively unchanged.
The state’s average days on the market (DOM) remained unchanged at 57. Austin and San Antonio each fell by two days while Dallas has remained at 50 days for two months. San Antonio continues to have the highest days on market among the Big Four with 71 days followed by Austin at 65 and Houston and Dallas have continued to average 50.
The number of active listings went up from 111,053 to 116,404 (4.8 percent). The level of active listings increased across three of the Big four with Dallas (7.3 percent) and Austin (6.3 percent) leading the way with 26,758 and 11,604 listings, respectively.
Pending listings during May have been on a decline of 7.5 percent. All the Big Four except Houston experienced a substantial decline during this month. San Antonio pending listings fell the most dropping 10.6 percent followed by DFW and Austin dropping 8.4 and 7.8 percent, respectively. Houston was the only major city that experienced an increase in pending listings of less than 1 percent. The slowdown in sales and pending listings have contributed to the higher-than-normal active listing count.
Interest Rates Dip Slightly
Treasury and mortgage rates remain below their peak 2023 levels but have been increasing since the start of the year. The average ten-year U.S. Treasury Bondyield fell six basis points to 4.48 percent. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate fell by two basis points to 7.52 percent.
Housing Highlight
Outside of Hurricane Harvey (and a data anomaly in June 2019), Houston’s single-family housing starts were relatively stable month to month during the 2010s, exhibiting a slight downturn during the 2015 oil bust followed by a steady upward trend in the latter half of the decade. Figure 1 illustrates the trend breaks and increased volatility that characterized the COVID-19 pandemic and post-pandemic eras. Historically, low interest rates and a shift in preferences toward more living space (for both health concerns and work-from-home accommodations) fueled demand for single-family housing. Homebuilders, who also leveraged lower costs of financing, responded with a surge in single-family housing starts to levels not seen since the onset of the Great Recession.
The Federal Reserve’s interest-rate hike in March 2022 marks a transition in the post-pandemic period, when housing starts descended and bottomed out at decade-level lows. In the second half of 2023, however, Houston housing starts trended near pre-pandemic levels, and activity surged to a record-high in March 2024. Despite correcting downward from the spring-time surge, the volume of starts remained above pre-pandemic levels. Figure 2 plots the intra-year progression of single-family start totals, highlighting the current trajectory in context of pre-pandemic, COVID-19 pandemic, and post-pandemic economic conditions. Houston is on a record-setting pace for single-family housing starts in 2024, but economic disruptions from Hurricane Beryl and projections of a hyper-active hurricane season present headwinds and short-run uncertainty.
Single-Family Starts and Permit Declining
Texas’ number of single-family construction permits decreased by 2 percent MOM, reaching 13,539 issuances. San Antonio had the biggest monthly increase adding 1,048 permits or 9.7 percent. Houston had a slower month for permits with a decline of 15 (4,098) percent, following a big increase in April. Dallas decreased by a negligible 0.4 percent (4,207). Austin experienced a modest increase of 1.7 percent (1,409).
Construction starts declined according to data from Dodge Construction Network. Seasonally adjusted single-family starts decreased by 3.09 percent MOM to 13,290 units. After a massive drop in April of 27 percent, there was a slight upward swing in single-family starts for Houston of 2.8 percent (4,452). Dallas dropped by 17.8 percent (3,451) while San Antonio and Austin reported modest increases of 3.2 percent (892) and 1.6 percent (1,420), respectively.
The state’s total value of single-family starts climbed from $11.8 billion in May 2023 to $16.65 billion in May 2024. Houston accounted for 36.4 percent of the state’s total starts value followed by Dallas with 26.4 percent.
Home Prices Unchanged
Texas’ median home price has remained stable at approximately $340,000 for four months (Table 2). The prices have remained stable this month with San Antonio and Houston increasing by 0.4 percent and 0.2 percent, respectively. Austin and Dallas both have declined by 0.4 percent. Despite there being an increase in new listings and active listings, housing prices have remained resilient. The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Jan 2005=100) grew 0.4 percent MOM and 2.2 percent year over year (YOY). Austin’s annual appreciation remains below the state’s average, falling by 1.5 percent YOY.
In May 2024, real estate trends across several counties in the Dallas-Fort Worth area showed varied patterns.
In Collin County new listings increased by 22%, while active listings rose by 47% compared to the previous year. The average days on the market decreased by nearly 10% and the average sales price remained unchanged, but average price per square foot saw a 3.7% increase. Closed sales saw a slight uptick of 1.5% from the prior year.
In Dallas County new listings grew by 13.4%, and active listings saw a significant rise of 42.2% year-over-year. The average days on market increased by 9.4% while the average sales price surged by 16.4% to exceed $600,000. The average price per square foot increased by 7.6%, while closed sales decreased by 8.3% compared to the previous year.
In Denton County new listings increased by 8.7%, with active listings up by almost 34% from May 2023 and the average days on market decreased by 12.2%. The average sales price rose by 5.7%. and the average price per square foot showed a nearly 4% increase. Closed sales were slightly lower compared to the same period last year.
These statistics indicate a robust market with increased listings in most counties, fluctuating prices, and varying trends in days on market and closed sales. For more detailed statistics on Rockwall and Tarrant counties and condominium markets for all counties, take a look at our complete report and make it a great summer from your friends at Republic Title!
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
Seasonally adjusted housing sales bounced back in April following March’s decline. New listings grew for the fourth month in a row resulting in the total active listings count growing to its highest level since July 2012. Home prices remained the same at $340,000 for the second month in a row.
New Home Listings on the Rise
Texas witnessed a 5.9 percent increase in total seasonally adjusted home sales month over month (MOM), resulting in 29,212 homes sold (Table 1). All the major cities saw a slight increase in home sales. Previously, San Antonio had the highest decline at 9.2 percent, but looks to be recovering at an increasing rate of 8 percent—the highest among the Big Four, followed by Dallas at 4 percent.
New listings have been steadily increasing from December to April (2.8 percent) with only a slight decline of 0.5 percent in March. The April 2024 number stands at 47,000. Among the Big Four, Dallas has been declining for two months and is currently at 11,523 new listings. Austin, however, has increased by 25 percent between January and April.
The state’s average days on the market remained unchanged at 57. Austin fell by almost four days while Dallas rose by less than one. San Antonio is the only Big Four metro to experience an increase of a little over three days. As of April, San Antonio had the highest days on market of the Big Four, at 72 days. Austin followed at 66 days. Houston had the lowest at 46 days.
The number of active listings went up from 106,428 to 111,707 (4.9 percent) following the increase in new listings. Pending listings during April went up by only 0.6 percent. This growth was driven largely by Houston (10 percent) but offset by Dallas (5.6 percent) and San Antonio (3.3 percent). The Big Four experienced an upward trend in active listings with an addition of 1,555 for Austin (16.5 percent). Houston experienced a similar increased trend in active listings (10.7 percent) with an addition of 2,788 listings, almost five times that of the previous month. Dallas and San Antonio experienced relatively modest increases of 8.2 percent and 2 percent, respectively.
Interest Rates on the Rise
Treasury and mortgage rates remain below their peak 2023 levels but have been increasing since the start of the year. The average ten-year U.S. Treasury Bond yield jumped almost 33 basis points to 4.54 percent. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate rose by 17 basis points to 6.99 percent.
Housing Highlight
The housing market may be adjusting to a new normal that is characterized by an average 30-year fixed mortgage rate above 6 percent. Despite the persistence of higher mortgage interest rates, Texas’ residential mortgage activity is steadily improving as more pre-approved customers are searching for homes. Texas’ robust labor market and general economic strength are supporting housing demand despite scattered signals of financial distress across the nation. Financial vulnerability (e.g., rising credit card delinquencies) are currently concentrated on the lower end of the income distribution, where households are less likely to be prospective homebuyers. While that credit-health distinction somewhat shields the home-purchase market, it has broader implications for housing affordability and may carry consequences for the future economy.
Single-Family Starts Declining
Texas’ number of single-family construction permits increased by 0.9 percent MOM, reaching 13,805 issuances. After a massive dip in March, Houston has increased by almost 30 percent while all other major cities experienced moderate changes. Austin was the only city that had a fall of 5.9 percent (1,411) while San Antonio and Dallas experienced slight increases of 3.5 percent (953) and 1.6 percent (4,063), respectively.
Construction starts reduced according to data from Dodge Construction Network. Seasonally adjusted single-family starts decreased by 15.1 percent MOM to 13,731 units. Part of the pullback could be because February was such a strong month for starts, signaling an earlier-than-normal start to the construction home season. Houston had been experiencing an almost vertical increase from 56.8 percent in February, which began to slow down and has declined by 25.2 percent, while Dallas increased slightly by 10.7 percent (4,052). In contrast, Austin and San Antonio saw declines of 17.5 percent and 4.6 percent, respectively.
The state’s total value of single-family starts climbed from $9.15 billion in April 2023 to $13.19 billion in April 2024. Houston accounted for 36.2 percent of the state’s total starts value. Starts value activity is up from last year as Austin and San Antonio also posted moderate increases.
Home Prices Stabilizing
Texas’ median home price has remained stable at approximately $340,000 for two months (Table 2). However, across most major metropolitan areas, home prices saw a decline. Notably, Austin experienced an increase of 5.1 percent, moving the price from $421,572 to $443,247. Austin had the highest increase among the four major cities with a price change of $21,675. Prices increased by 2.1 percent in Houston and by a mere 0.7 percent in Dallas. San Antonio is the only city among the Big Four to experience a decline (0.9 percent).
The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Jan 2005=100) grew 0.9 percent MOM and 2.6 percent year over year (YOY). Austin’s annual appreciation remains below the state’s average, falling by 2 percent YOY.
Seasonally adjusted housing sales fell in March following February’s growth. Despite the drop, three months into the year cumulative sales are at the same level as last year. Home prices on the other hand remained the same at $340,000 for the second month in a row.
Texas Housing Insight is a summary of important economic indicators that help discern trends in the Texas housing markets. All measurements are calculated using seasonally adjusted data, and percentage changes are calculated month-over-month, unless stated otherwise.Data current as of March 22, 2024.
Seasonally adjusted housing sales fell in March following February’s growth. Despite the drop, three months into the year cumulative sales are at the same level as last year. Home prices, on the other hand, remained the same at $340,000 for the second month in a row.
Home Sales Retreat from February’s Gains
Texas witnessed a 7.1 percent decrease in total seasonally adjusted home sales month over month (MOM), resulting in 27,595 homes sold (Table 1). Although most major cities experienced an upward trend in February, there was a slight downturn across the board in March. Notably, San Antonio saw the most significant decline at 9.2 percent, representing a decrease of over 296 sales compared to February. Conversely, Dallas-Fort Worth had the smallest decline, with only 259 fewer sales (a 3.2 percent decrease).
After a consistent increase in new listings from December to February, Texas experienced a slight dip, declining from 45,696 to 45,448 listings (0.5 percent). Among the major cities, only San Antonio defied the trend, maintaining stable new listings. However, both Dallas and Houston saw significant drops. Dallas witnessed a reduction of 2,399 listings (17.2 percent), while Houston experienced a decrease of 1,394 listings (9.8 percent).
The state’s average days on the market (DOM) decreased by one day from 57 to 56. Austin fell by almost ten days while Dallas fell by a mere two days. There weren’t any notable changes in Houston and San Antonio. Statewide inventory increased from 3.9 to 4.1 months.
The number of active listings went up from 101,933 to 106,269 (4.2 percent) despite the slight decline in new listings. One explanation for the increase could be the sudden decrease in pending listings, which fell 6.2 percent. The Big Four experienced an upward trend in active listings with an addition of 334 for Austin (3.6 percent). Both Dallas and Houston experienced a similar increased trend in active listings by 2.2 percent with an addition of 524 and 570, respectively. San Antonio experienced a modest increase of 226 (1.8 percent).
Interest Rates on the Rise
Treasury and mortgage rates remain below their peak 2023 levels but have been increasing since the start of the year. The average ten-year U.S. Treasury Bondyield stayed at 4.21 for the second consecutive month. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate rose by 4 basis points to 6.82 percent.
Single-Family Starts Stabilizing in March
Texas’ number of single-family construction permits increased by 2.6 percent MOM, reaching 14,013 issuances. In Houston, there was a significant decline of 24.1 percent compared to the previous month. In contrast, Austin and San Antonio saw more modest increases, with 2.1 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively. Dallas permits decreased by 5.2 percent.
Construction starts rose alongside permits, according to data from Dodge Construction Network. Single-family starts rose by 2.6 percent MOM to 16,104 units. Houston had been experiencing an almost vertical increase from 56.8 in February, which is slowly reducing. It currently stands at 9.6 percent in March. San Antonio had a modest increase of 2.9 percent, and Austin rose by 15.8 percent. Dallas had surprisingly no change after the previous month’s 42 percent increase.
The state’s total value of single-family starts climbed from $6.55 billion in March 2023 to $9.51 billion in March 2024. Houston accounted for 36.6 percent of the state’s total starts value. Starts value activity is up from last year as Austin and San Antonio also posted moderate increases.
Home Prices Decline
Texas’ median home price remained stable at approximately $340,000 compared to the previous month (Table 2). However, across most major metropolitan areas, home prices saw a decline. Notably, San Antonio experienced an increase of 4.2 percent, while Austin had the highest decline among the four major cities at 5.2 percent. Dallas saw a minor decrease of 0.3 percent, while Houston declined by 1.7 percent.
The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Jan 2005=100) grew 0.6 percent MOM and 2.8 percent year over year (YOY). Austin’s annual appreciation remains below the state’s average, falling by 0.7 percent YOY.
In April 2024, real estate activity across North Texas showed distinct trends, both in similarities and differences.
New listings surged in each county, with Collin County experiencing an impressive 43% increase, followed closely by Denton County at 27%, Dallas County at 24%, Tarrant County at 22%, and Rockwall County at 2.8%.
While Collin County saw a notable 11% decrease in average days on market, Denton County experienced the most significant decline at 15%. Conversely, Dallas County witnessed a slight 8.3% increase, while Tarrant County remained stable.
Active listings soared across the board, ranging from a 22% to 44% increase. While we are still not in a balanced market, this higher inventory will help prospective buyers.
Dallas County boasted the highest average sales price at $569,264, marking a notable 10% increase, while Tarrant County saw a more moderate 4% rise, reaching $444,968.
In summary, the real estate scene in North Texas reflects the region’s rapid population growth. Recent data shows that Dallas-Fort Worth and Collin County have experienced significant increases in population, highlighting the dynamic nature of the market. Despite differences between counties, such as varied trends in listings and prices, the overall picture is one of resilience and evolution. Staying informed is key for navigating this ever-changing landscape effectively.
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
