In March, there’s significant news across all reported counties: new and active listings have surged, particularly notable spikes seen in Collin and Denton counties. Despite this uptick in listing activity, inventory remains tight, with less than three months’ worth available.
Closed sales in Collin, Dallas, Denton, Rockwall, and Tarrant counties have seen an almost 10% increase each, except for Rockwall County, where there’s a notable decline of nearly 40% compared to the previous year. Additionally, noteworthy is the decrease in days on market across all counties except Dallas, where it has risen by almost 5% compared to last year.
Given the inventory challenges, it’s unsurprising that average sales prices have edged up slightly from the previous year, with increases of less than 5% across most counties. However, Dallas County stands out with a significant 14.9% jump in average sales price compared to 2023.
Even still, the spring and summer market is upon us and given that the DFW Metroplex is in the top 10 of people moving here, so it promises to be a busy selling season!
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
Housing sales rebounded from last month’s drop despite mortgage rates remaining at elevated levels. The average home price grew alongside sales, with the cost rising over $9,000 since December 2023. Single-family starts decreased while permits increased.
Home Sales Skyrocket
According to the latest data, Texas had a 14.6 percent increase in total home sales month over month (MOM), resulting in 29,209 homes sold (Table 1). Notably, all major cities in Texas experienced an upswing in housing sales compared to fourth quarter 2023. The most significant increase was in Houston (37.3 percent) with a remarkable surge of over 2,000 additional sales compared to December. The rest of the Big Four experienced strong monthly gains of over 10 percent.
The state’s average days on market remained unchanged with both Dallas and Houston hovering at 50 days for the second consecutive month. Both Austin (74 days) and San Antonio (64 days) recorded decreases, falling by four and three days, respectively.
Statewide active listings rose slightly to 105,475. For the second straight month, San Antonio (12,542) was the only one of the Big Four to post a monthly increase at 2.4 percent. Austin had the largest drop in active listings with a 2.4 percent loss to 8,109. Dallas (22,008) and Houston (24,699) had reductions of less than half a percent.
The state’s new listings rose to 43,817 in January. All four major metros posted monthly increases with San Antonio leading the way at 14 percent. Houston also had a strong increase of 9 percent. Amid the rise in active listings, the months of inventory (MOI) increased to 3.7. Dallas fell from 3.1 to 2.7 since November.by 0.5 percent in January.
Mortgage Rates Remain Below Peak Values
Treasury and mortgage rates remain below their elevated 2023 levels as the ten-year U.S. Treasury Bondyield rose four basis points to 4.06 percent. However, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate rose 18 basis points to 6.64 percent.
Permits Rise, Starts Unchanged
Texas’ single-family construction permits increased 1.8 percent MOM to 12,723 issuances. Dallas continued its fall from last month, dropping 2.6 percent to 3,415 starts while Houston experienced a minor fluctuation of less than 1 percent. Austin and San Antonio reported strong increases of 7.9 and 14.3 percent, respectively.
Construction starts fell alongside permits, according to data from Dodge Construction Network. Single-family starts decreased 1 percent MOM to 11,908 units. Austin reported the only monthly increase among the Big Four, rising just shy of 2 percent. Houston (1.3 percent) and San Antonio (0.5 percent) moderated. Dallas starts plummeted in January, falling 22.1 percent to 2,537 starts.
The state’s total single-family starts value climbed from $2 billion in January 2023 to $2.7 billion in January 2024. Houston accounted for a third of the state’s total starts value. Starts activity is up from last year as Austin and San Antonio posted moderate increases.
Home Price Changes Mixed after Last Month’s Plunge
The state’s median home price rose 2.8 percent, reaching $341,840 (Figure 1). Among the major metropolitan areas, Houston and Dallas recorded the only increases, with 3.3 percent and 1 percent, respectively. Conversely, San Antonio saw home prices decline by 4.3 percent, which was the lowest among the Big Four. Notably, Austin had previously experienced the most significant price surge of 4.2 percent, but median prices decreased by 0.5 percent in January.
The majority of sales fall into the $200,000-$300,000 and $300,000-$400,000 price range cohorts, accounting for 27 and 25 percent of total home sales, respectively.
The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Jan 2004=100) grew 0.3 percent MOM and remains 2.6 percent higher year over year. Austin’s annual appreciation remains well below the states average, falling to 3.2 percent.
February 2024 showed positive trends in terms of increased new listings, active listings, and a decrease in days on market across North Texas. However, closed sales varied, with some counties experiencing notable declines. Additionally, while the average sales price increased in most counties, Collin County stood out with a slight decline. These variations indicate a dynamic real estate market with differing trends across different counties in North Texas.
New Listings: – Overall Trend: All counties experienced significant increases in new listings compared to February 2023, indicating a surge in properties entering the market. – Notable Difference: Collin County saw the highest increase at 46.6%, while Denton County followed closely with a 38.6% increase.
Active Listings: – Overall Trend: Active listings rose across all counties, suggesting growth in available inventory compared to February 2023. – Notable Difference: Dallas County had the highest increase at 30.9%, while Denton County had a notable rise of 20.6%.
Days on Market: – Overall Trend: Days on market decreased in most counties, indicating properties sold faster compared to February 2023. – Notable Difference: Denton County experienced the most significant decrease at 12.7%, while Tarrant County saw a more modest decline of 1.9%. Rockwall County was an outlier with a 13% increase in days on market over February 2023.
Closed Sales: – Overall Trend: Closed sales varied across counties, with some experiencing slight declines while others saw more significant decreases compared to February 2023. – Notable Difference: Denton County had the highest decline at 11.8%, whereas Collin County saw a slight decrease of 2.9%. Rockwall County was an outlier with a 3.9% increase in closed sales over February 2023.
Average Sales Price: – Overall Trend: The average sales price increased in most counties, indicating a positive trend in pricing compared to February 2023. – Notable Difference: Collin County experienced a slight decline of 1.3% in average sales price, contrasting with the overall upward trend observed in other counties.
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
Despite mortgage rates continuing to fall from their elevated level, housing sales haven’t rebounded. The average price has fallen alongside home sales, with homes costing $2,000 less than in November. Single-family starts increased while permits moved downward. Homes sat on the market for longer in December as average days on market reported its first increase since the beginning of the year.
Home Sales Fall Alongside Listings
Mortgage rates continued to fall, but their elevated level remains problematic for homebuyers as Texas’ total home sales fell 1.9 percent month over month (MOM) to 25,430 (Table 1). Among the Big Four, San Antonio reported the only gain in home sales, jumping 7.1 percent to 2,684. Houston’s home sales decreased by 16.6 percent, losing over 1,000 sales in December. Austin and Dallas also experienced losses, falling by 9.2 percent and 3.5 percent, respectively. The gap between Houston and Dallas widened as Houston reported poor monthly sales. Despite rates falling, they remain elevated, resulting in an affordability problem for homebuyers.
The state’s average days on market (DOM) climbed to 57, marking the first increase since April. This increase suggests longer listing times could be approaching. All four of the major metros experienced increases in DOM with Houston (50 days) and Dallas (49 days) rising by seven and four days, respectively. Austin (77 days) and San Antonio (68 days) had minor fluctuations from the previous month.
Housing supplies remained elevated, but active listings fell for the first time since May, falling to 103,395 listings. San Antonio (12,254) was the only one of the Big Four to post a monthly increase at 1 percent. Austin had the largest drop in active listings with a 13.3 percent loss to 8,307 listings. Dallas (22,056) and Houston (24,770) had moderate reductions. Despite the fall in active listings in December, levels are still on pace with 2019.
The state’s new listings fell 1.89percent to 42,658 in December. All four of the major metros posted monthly decreases of between 2 and 4 percent. Austin had a 2 percent decrease to 3,766 listings while San Antonio had the largest decrease at 4 percent. Amid the fall in active listings, the months of inventory (MOI) experienced a small decrease to 3.6 with Austin contributing heavily to the fall, dropping over 10 percent.
Mortgage Rates Continue to Plunge
Treasury and mortgage rates continued to fall amidst rumors of interest rate hikes being finished. The ten-year U.S. Treasury Bondyield fell 48 basis points to 4.02 percent. Likewise, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate fell 62 basis points to 6.82 percent. If rates continue to fall into the start of 2024, housing affordability should improve.
Permits Unchanged, Starts on the Rise
Texas’ single-family construction permits moderated just shy of a quarter of a percent decrease from November, falling to 12,392 issuances. Dallas and San Antonio had monthly dips falling 5.3 percent and 12.9 percent, respectively. Houston and Austin both experienced minor fluctuations of less than ten issuances.
Construction starts grew while construction permits remained effectively unchanged, according to data from Dodge Construction Network. Single-family starts increased 2.5 percent MOM to 12,222 units. Despite the Texas increase, San Antonio (8,08 starts) reported the only monthly increase among the Big Four, rising 20.6 percent. Austin (1,392 starts) fell 13.6 percent, making the ratio of Austin to San Antonio starts fall under the typical 2:1 ratio. Dallas (3,250 starts) and Houston (3,448 starts) continued to outperform the rest of the state, combining for 55 percent of total starts.
The state’s year-to-date total single-family starts value climbed to$29.8 billion, up from $27.7 billion in November. Starts values continued to mirror 2019 values since May, however, value fell just outside the $1 billion dollar threshold in December. Houston and Dallas accounted for over 60 percent of the state’s construction value.
Median Home Prices Fall Despite Big Four Rising
Texas’ median home price fell 0.7 percent to $332,300 (Table 2). Among the Big Four metro areas, Dallas posted the only decrease, falling by 1 percent. Austin saw the greatest price boost with a 4.2 percent gain, raising the price to its highest level since January. Home prices across the Big Four remain above pre-COVID prices.
Home prices continued to hover around $200,000-$300,000 and $300,000-$400,000, accounting for 26 and 24 percent of total home sales, respectively.
The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Dec 2004=100) fell 0.9 percent MOM but remains 2 percent up from the previous year. Houston had the highest annual appreciation at 2.6 percent YOY increase while Austin showed the lowest annual appreciation at negative 3 percent.
Source – Joshua Roberson and Koby McMeans (February 20, 2024)
January 2024 brought a surge in North Texas real estate listings, with Collin County leading at a 25% increase in new listings compared to the same period last year. Dallas County follows suit with a commendable 14% uptick, while Denton and Rockwall counties record rises of 12% and 32%, respectively. Tarrant County, while still showing growth, experiences a more modest increase of 6% in new listings. While days on market varied—Collin improved by 1.8%, Dallas increased by 9%, Denton dropped by 13%, and Rockwall rose by 6%—closed sales were up in all counties except Tarrant, which saw a 4% decrease.
In summary, the January 2024 real estate statistics paint a picture of a vibrant and dynamic market in North Texas. The surge in new listings signifies growing confidence among sellers, while variations in days on the market underscore the nuanced nature of local market conditions. Despite minor fluctuations, the overall trajectory remains positive, reaffirming North Texas as a robust hub for real estate activity.
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
Our third annual stats report of the DFW real estate market is here!
We’ve taken our monthly stats-at-a-glance reports from January through December of 2023, totaled, averaged, and compared the data to the numbers from 2022. The result is an annual report of the DFW real estate market in 2023.
The housing market remains tight despite mortgage rates falling from their elevated levels. Home sales decreased just shy of 1 percent month over month (MOM). Prices did not fall alongside sales as most of the state experienced minimal change in prices. Construction permits plummeted in November despite construction starts increasing. Homes sat on the market for less time as average days on market continued its decreasing trend observed this year.
Home Sales Fall as Listings Increase
Mortgage rates fell this month, but their elevated level remains problematic for homebuyers as Texas’ total home sales fell 0.9 percent MOM to 25,916 sales in November (Table 1). Among the Big Four, Dallas reported the only increase in home sales, rising 2.3 percent to 7,363 sales. Austin fell 4.4 percent, and San Antonio reported its second straight month of significant decreases, plummeting 8.9 percent. The gap between Dallas and Houston widened as both continued to move in opposite directions. High mortgage rates have created an affordability problem, with people needing to spend more of their total income on affording a median-priced home.
The state’s average days on market (DOM) fell to 51, continuing the decline observed in 2023. For the past seven months, readings have gone from 59 to 51 days, indicating a shorter listing period. Among the major metros, Austin (75 days) and San Antonio (70 days) reported DOM significantly above the state average, while Houston (43 days) and Dallas (46 days) experienced minor fluctuations from the previous month.
Housing supplies are stocking up as active listings marked their sixth straight month of increases, climbing to 104,058 listings. This is the first time in four years supply has hit six-digit numbers. All four major metros posted monthly gains with Dallas adding 1,949 listings (9.1 percent) while Austin added fewer than a hundred homes for the third consecutive month. The constant increases since the start of 2023 have put the state’s active listings at January 2019 levels.
The state’s new listings rose 1.85 percent to 43,255 in November. San Antonio contributed heavily to this jump, rebounding from last month’s fall with a 9.4 percent increase. Dallas’s numbers remained unchanged from October. Amid the rise in active listings, the months of inventory (MOI) had a small increase to 3.7 months with all four major metros also posting small increases.
Mortgage Rates Fall from Peak Values
As news broke that the Fed might be finished with their rate hikes, treasury and mortgage rates fell. The ten-year U.S. Treasury Bondyield fell 30 basis points to 4.5 percent. Likewise, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate fell 18 basis points to 7.44 percent. The decreases across the board signal an increase in housing affordability.
Mixed Single-Family Construction Activity
Texas’ single-family construction permits fell 1.7 percent MOM to 12,418 issuances. Both Austin and San Antonio had MOM dips falling 7 percent and 16 percent, respectively. Houston was essentially unchanged with only a 0.3 percent decline while Dallas grew by 1.3 percent.
Construction starts grew while construction permits fell, according to data from Dodge Construction Network. Single-family starts increased 1.1 percent MOM to 11,744 units. Both Dallas (3,393 starts) and Houston (3,510 starts) continued to outperform the rest of the state, combining for 58 percent of the total starts. Austin increased its lead over San Antonio, with 1,647 starts approaching a 3:1 ratio compared to San Antonio. Historically, Austin’s advantage has been about 2:1 in total starts.
The state’s year-to-date total single-family starts value climbed to$27.7 billion, up from $25.4 billion in October. Starts values have been mirroring 2019 values since May, remaining within $1 billion dollars from the observed 2019 values. Houston and Dallas both accounted for 30 percent of the state’s construction activity values.
Median Home Price Steady Across the Big Four
Texas’ median home prices recorded a modest decline, falling 0.1 percent to $334,600 (Table 2). All of the Big Four recorded marginal changes of less than 1 percent, with Dallas exhibiting the only increase in price at 0.9 percent. Austin’s home prices have come down significantly from the highly inflated 2022 prices, although remain elevated from pre-COVID prices.
Home prices continued to hover around $200,000-$300,000 and $300,000-$400,000, accounting for 26 and 24 percent of total home sales, respectively.
The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Dec 2004=100) fell 0.9 percent MOM but remains 2 percent up from the previous year. Houston had the highest annual appreciation at 2.6 percent YOY increase while Austin showed the lowest annual appreciation at negative 3 percent.
Source – Joshua Roberson and Koby McMeans (January 24, 2024)
In December 2023, real estate statistics across various counties showed mixed trends. In Collin County, new listings increased by 15%, active listings rose by 13.8%, and the average sales price went up by 3.5% to $569,839. However, there was a 2.1% increase in days on market, reaching 49 days. Price per square foot also saw a 5.8% uptick at $220, while closed sales experienced a slight decrease of 0.1%, totaling 1083.
Dallas County witnessed a 14.6% increase in new listings, with active listings up by 16.8%. The average sales price soared by 15.8% to $518,225, and the price per square foot rose by 7.1% to $225. Days on market increased significantly by 10.8%, reaching 42 days, while closed sales declined by 8.9%, totaling 1345.
Denton County reported a more modest increase in new listings at 2.9%, with active listings up by 2.5%. The average sales price grew by 4.7% to $549,571, and the price per square foot increased by 2.4%. Days on market experienced a 1.9% rise, averaging 54 days. However, closed sales saw a substantial decline of 16.2%, totaling 912.
Rockwall County saw a 7.7% increase in new listings, but total actives were down by 6.4%. The average sales price rose by 4.1% to $479,202, and the price per square foot increased by 1.1%. Days on market surged by 25.9%, averaging 73 days, while closed sales declined by 10.4%, totaling 164.
In Tarrant County, new listings decreased by 2.3%, but total active listings went up by 7.8%. The average sales price, price per square foot, and days on market increased by 1.1%, 1.1%, and 4.3%, respectively. Closed sales, however, experienced a notable decline of 10.2%, totaling 1534.
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
November stats are in! New listings increased over November 2022 in all counties except for Denton County. Rockwall County saw the biggest increase in new listings with 219 (up 16.5% over November 2022). Days on market increased in Denton County (7.7% YoY), Dallas County (6.1% YoY), and Tarrant County (7.9% YoY) while Collin County slightly decreased by 2.3% from 2022. The National Association of Realtors is forecasting that Dallas-Fort Worth area will be one of the country’s top housing marketing in 2024, second to Austin. These stats provide valuable insights for both buyers and sellers as we round out 2023 and prepare for the new year.
In this ever-evolving real estate landscape, understanding local market trends is essential. Whether you’re buying, selling, or investing, our team is here to provide expert guidance tailored to your needs.
Our stats infographics include a year over year comparison and area highlights for single family homes broken down by county. We encourage you to share these infographics and video with your sphere.
High mortgage rates continue to put downward pressure on the housing market, with Texas home sales decreasing 5.9 percent year-over-year (YOY). The average price fell alongside sales, with homes costing around $6,000 less than in September. Demand for new construction increased despite the high entry barrier into the housing market. Homes continue to sit on the market longer, increasing by a week since the start of the year.
Housing Demand Remains Weak
High mortgage rates continue to decrease demand for homebuyers, leading to Texas’ total home sales falling 3.7 percent to 26,164 sales in October (Table 1). The “Big Four” metros were split with Austin and Dallas experiencing gains while Houston and San Antonio fell significantly. Austin had the highest monthly elevation with a 2.4 percent growth rate while San Antonio plummeted by 6.1 percent. The gap between Dallas and Houston grew as they moved in opposite directions. High mortgage rates continue to increase the entry barrier for buyers, leaving only the most committed buyers in the market.
The state’s average days on market (DOM) enters its sixth month of decreases, falling from 59 days in February to 52 days in October, indicating a shorter listing period. Among the major metros, Houston (44 days) posted the only monthly decrease while San Antonio (70 days) posted the largest gain. Dallas (44 days) and Austin (68 days) remain unchanged from the previous month.
Housing supplies are stocking up as active listings marked their seventh straight month of increases, climbing 4.1 percent to 98,875 listings. All four major metros posted monthly gains with Houston (8.5 percent) adding 1,867 listings while Austin (0.9 percent) had a moderate gain of 84 listings. The constant increases since the start of 2023 have put the state’s active listings number at October 2019 levels.
The state’s new listings fell 1.45 percent to 42,100 in October. San Antonio contributed heavily to this decline, falling over 17 percent (790 homes). Amid the rise in active listings, the months of inventory (MOI) grew to 3.8 months with all four major metros posting marginal gains.
High Mortgage Rates Continue to Impair Affordability
The Fed’s effort to curb inflation has led to a substantial rise in both treasury and mortgage rates. The ten-year U.S. Treasury Bondyield grew for the sixth consecutive month reaching 4.8 percent. Likewise, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation’s 30-year fixed-rate increased to 7.62 percent, up 42 basis points. The inflated mortgage rate is expected to further raise the cost of homeownership, decreasing mortgage applications.
Single-Family Permit Levels Rebound
Texas’ single-family construction permits rose 1.1 percent month over month (MOM) to 12,619 issuances. All four major metros reported growing demand for permits except for Houston (4,007 units), falling 4.6 percent. Among the other three metros, both San Antonio (967 units) and Dallas (3,731 units) saw double-digit monthly percent gains at 31 and 24 percent, respectively. Austin rebounded from last month’s fall, climbing 8.7 percent to 1,643 units.
Construction starts grew alongside construction permits according to data from Dodge Construction Network. Single-family construction starts increased 1.2 percent MOM to 11,556 units. Both Dallas and Houston led with over 3,250 houses breaking ground, surpassing the combined total of other metros outside the Big Four. Home project starts in Austin (1,605 starts) and San Antonio (694 starts) surpassed the typical 2:1 ratio.
The state’s year-to-date total single-family starts value climbed to$25.4 billion, up from $22.8 billion in September. Starts values continued the previous month’s trend of mirroring the values observed in 2019. Houston and Dallas remain the largest contributors, accounting for more than half of the state’s construction activity values. Dallas’ market share rose to 30.2 percent, with Houston trailing at 29.7 percent.
Median Home Price Falls for First Time Since February
After last month’s spike in median home prices, October erased that increase with the housing market easing as the median home price fell 1.9 percent MOM, falling by over $6,000 from last month. Housing prices remained elevated, but this month they declined as all of the Big Four metros reported monthly decreases with Austin experiencing the greatest decrease at 3 percent. Dallas and Houston declined by over 1 percent while San Antonio declined the least at 0.7 percent (Table 2).
Due to the price rise, half of homes are now priced at $200,000-$300,000 or $300,000-$400,000, accounting for 26 percent and 24 percent of total home sales, respectively.
The Texas Repeat Sales Home Price Index (Dec 2004=100) moderated at a 0.1 percent MOM loss but was up 1.5 percent from the previous year. Austin had the lowest annual appreciation with a 5.7 percent YOY decrease while Houston showed the highest annual appreciation at 2.5 percent.
Source – Joshua Roberson and Koby McMeans (December 13, 2023)
